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Friday, October 27, 2017

President Trump declares Fentanyl abuse a Public Health Emergency

Addressing an issue talked about for several days, President Trump yesterday declared fentanyl abuse a Public Health Emergency. Of note is that the Public Health Emergency status directs agencies to devote more of existing resources to the issue, as opposed to providing additional funding as would be the case of a National Emergency. Trump cited that FEMA funds are all but exhausted from dealing with hurricane effects in the Southeast over the last several months and left it to Congress to provide funding for fighting Fentanyl abuse.  

The New York Times has a brief overview and analysis of Trump's directive here. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/26/us/politics/trump-opioid-crisis.html

Deaths from opioid overdoses topped 64,000 last year, with studies suggesting slightly more than half of these deaths may be attributed to fentanyl, a synthetic drug that is 50-100x stronger than heroin and primarily used to treat late-stage cancer patients. See fentanyl and opioid overdose deaths as detailed by CBS.

The Pharmaceutical Sector was directly affected by these announcements, since some companies produce and market fentanyl in various forms. Coinciding with yesterday's announcement was the arrest of a billionaire former pharmaceutical executive on charges of bribing doctors to over-prescribe his company's fentanyl spray. Since this executive was also controlling shareholder of the pharmaceutical company, the company's stock crashed and was subsequently suspended by the exchange pending an information request sent to the company. Hopefully investors in the company did their due diligence prior to these events unfolding. The author also hopes any potential victims of these alleged practices get some degree of justice.

Arrest of former pharmaceutical executive: http://fortune.com/2017/10/26/john-kapoor-insys-therapeutics-arrested-net-worth/

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Spinoff activity is picking up

Today, both Pfizer and Honeywell announced potential spinoffs. Investors tend to like this development since the independent companies often outperform the market and the parent as they focus on their core competencies and have better economies of scale. Pfizer is looking for alternatives for its consumer healthcare business, which generated $3.4 billion in revenue in 2016. Honeywell is looking to spinoff its Car Parts and Home Systems Businesses, which have combined sales of about $7.5 billion.

Looking beneath the hood at historic data, it can be seen that increases in spinoff activity can also signal market tops. When equity is fully valued and growth is sluggish, sometimes a spinoff is the best available option for large companies. So far, activity is below that seen in prior years, but these announcements show that interest is definitely picking up.

Article below details spinoff data with major market tops.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/10/there-was-a-flurry-of-spinoff-announcements-tuesday.html

Friday, October 6, 2017

Tropical Storm Nate's a'coming!

Second time is definitely not the charm. Energy companies started shutting down their US Gulf Coast operations ahead of Tropical Storm Nate's landing, affecting about 1 million barrels per day of production and potentially reducing US crude exports. About half of US refining capacity is located in the region.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-storm-nate-energy/more-u-s-gulf-oil-producers-halt-output-ahead-of-tropical-storm-nate-idUSKBN1CB24N

Thursday, October 5, 2017

Saudi King Salman makes historic visit to Russia

Saudi King Salman made first official visit to Russia. Putin responded with an extravagant welcome ceremony. Both leaders spoke of strengthening ties and reaffirmed their country's commitment to oil production caps. The two countries signed a $1 billion joint energy fund among other deals.

President Putin unexpectedly discussed how OPEC and Russia's production caps could be extended well beyond the current March 2018 deadline. Saudi Arabia is also committed to keeping oil prices elevated ahead of a public offering of state oil company Saudi Aramco that is planned for sometime in 2018

US production has been rising in recent days although US inventories have still fallen sharply. This is potentially a sign of falling global inventories, in which case current OPEC and Russian production caps may be working.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-saudi-king-explore-deeper-cooperation-1507224720